$A$ person is known to speak the truth in $3$ out of $4$ occasions. If he throws a die and reports that it is six,then the probability that it is actually six is

Of the students in a college,it is known that $60 \%$ reside in a hostel and $40 \%$ are day scholars (not residing in a hostel). Previous year results report that $30 \%$ of all students who reside in a hostel attain $A$ grade and $20 \%$ of day scholars attain $A$ grade in their annual examination. At the end of the year,one student is chosen at random from the college and they have an $A$ grade. What is the probability that the student is a hostler?

Three urns $A$,$B$,and $C$ contain $7$ red,$5$ black; $5$ red,$7$ black; and $6$ red,$6$ black balls,respectively. One of the urns is selected at random and a ball is drawn from it. If the ball drawn is black,then the probability that it is drawn from urn $A$ is:

$A$ factory has a total of three manufacturing units,$M_1, M_2$,and $M_3$,which produce bulbs independently. The units $M_1, M_2$,and $M_3$ produce bulbs in the proportions of $2: 2: 1$,respectively. It is known that $20\%$ of the bulbs produced in the factory are defective. It is also known that,of all the bulbs produced by $M_1, 15\%$ are defective. Suppose that,if a randomly chosen bulb produced in the factory is found to be defective,the probability that it was produced by $M_2$ is $\frac{2}{5}$. If a bulb is chosen randomly from the bulbs produced by $M_3$,then the probability that it is defective is $.....$ .

In a factory which manufactures bolts,machines $A, B$ and $C$ manufacture respectively $25\%, 35\%$ and $40\%$ of the bolts. Of their outputs,$5, 4$ and $2$ percent are respectively defective bolts. $A$ bolt is drawn at random from the product and is found to be defective. What is the probability that it is manufactured by the machine $B$?

Two bags $A$ and $B$ contain $2$ white,$3$ black,$4$ red balls and $3$ white,$4$ black,$5$ red balls respectively. $A$ ball is drawn from bag $A$ and transferred to bag $B$. If a ball is then drawn from bag $B$,what is the probability that the ball drawn from bag $B$ is white?