$A$ bag contains $4$ red and $4$ black balls,another bag contains $2$ red and $6$ black balls. One of the two bags is selected at random and a ball is drawn from the bag which is found to be red. Find the probability that the ball is drawn from the first bag.

Let $A, B,$ and $C$ be three mutually independent events. Consider the two statements $S_1$ and $S_2$:
$S_1 : A$ and $B \cup C$ are independent.
$S_2 : A$ and $B \cap C$ are independent.
Then:

$A$ factory has a total of three manufacturing units,$M_1, M_2$,and $M_3$,which produce bulbs independently. The units $M_1, M_2$,and $M_3$ produce bulbs in the proportions of $2: 2: 1$,respectively. It is known that $20\%$ of the bulbs produced in the factory are defective. It is also known that,of all the bulbs produced by $M_1, 15\%$ are defective. Suppose that,if a randomly chosen bulb produced in the factory is found to be defective,the probability that it was produced by $M_2$ is $\frac{2}{5}$. If a bulb is chosen randomly from the bulbs produced by $M_3$,then the probability that it is defective is $.....$ .

In a certain city, the ratio of men to women is $5:4$. It is found that $80\%$ of men and $90\%$ of women are literate. If a person selected at random is found to be illiterate, then the probability that the person is a man is....

Two bags $A$ and $B$ contain $2$ white,$3$ black,$4$ red balls and $3$ white,$4$ black,$5$ red balls respectively. $A$ ball is drawn from bag $A$ and transferred to bag $B$. If a ball is then drawn from bag $B$,what is the probability that the ball drawn from bag $B$ is white?

$A$ factory has two machines $A$ and $B$. Past record shows that machine $A$ produced $60 \%$ of the items of output and machine $B$ produced $40 \%$ of the items. Further,$2 \%$ of the items produced by machine $A$ and $1 \%$ produced by machine $B$ were defective. All the items are put into one stockpile and then one item is chosen at random from this and is found to be defective. What is the probability that it was produced by machine $B$?