Bag $A$ contains $2$ white,$1$ black and $3$ red balls and bag $B$ contains $3$ black,$2$ red and $n$ white balls. One bag is chosen at random and $2$ balls drawn from it at random,are found to be $1$ red and $1$ black. If the probability that both balls come from Bag $A$ is $\frac{6}{11}$,then $n$ is equal to

  • A
    $13$
  • B
    $6$
  • C
    $4$
  • D
    $3$

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Suppose that the reliability of an $HIV$ test is specified as follows: Of people having $HIV$,$90\%$ of the tests detect the disease,but $10\%$ go undetected. Of people free of $HIV$,$99\%$ of the tests are judged $HIV$ negative,but $1\%$ are diagnosed as showing $HIV$ positive. From a large population of which only $0.1\%$ have $HIV$,one person is selected at random,given the $HIV$ test,and the pathologist reports him/her as $HIV$ positive. What is the probability that the person actually has $HIV$?

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Bag $I$ contains $3$ red and $4$ black balls and Bag $II$ contains $4$ red and $5$ black balls. One ball is transferred from Bag $I$ to Bag $II$ and then a ball is drawn from Bag $II$. The ball so drawn is found to be red in colour. Find the probability that the transferred ball is black.

$A$ factory has a total of three manufacturing units,$M_1, M_2$,and $M_3$,which produce bulbs independently. The units $M_1, M_2$,and $M_3$ produce bulbs in the proportions of $2: 2: 1$,respectively. It is known that $20\%$ of the bulbs produced in the factory are defective. It is also known that,of all the bulbs produced by $M_1, 15\%$ are defective. Suppose that,if a randomly chosen bulb produced in the factory is found to be defective,the probability that it was produced by $M_2$ is $\frac{2}{5}$. If a bulb is chosen randomly from the bulbs produced by $M_3$,then the probability that it is defective is $.....$ .

The contents of $3$ boxes are as follows. If one box is chosen at random and three balls are drawn from it and they are all of different colours,find the probability that they come from Box $2$.
Box $1$ contains $1$ black,$2$ white,$3$ red balls.
Box $2$ contains $1$ black,$1$ white,$2$ red balls.
Box $3$ contains $5$ black,$4$ white,$1$ red balls.

$A$ person is known to speak the truth $3$ out of $4$ times. If that person picks a card at random from a pack of $52$ cards and reports that it is a king,then the probability that it is actually a king is

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