$A$ certain disease has a prevalence of $1\%$ in the population. $A$ diagnostic test for the disease has a sensitivity of $98\%$ and a specificity of $95\%$. If a person from this population tests positive, then the probability that they actually have the disease is... (in $\%$)

  • A
    $98$
  • B
    $95$
  • C
    $16.5$
  • D
    $1$

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